*Supplementary Material Except PPML (runs off separate data sets) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Time Country Split *Table A9 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==2 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==2 *Table A10 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==200 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==200 *Table A11 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==220 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==220 *Table A12 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 *Figures -- combine code at bottom of section *Figure A2 ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_l_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_l_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_l_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_l_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_l_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_l_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_l_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_l_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_l_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_l_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_l_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_l_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_l_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_l_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_l_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_l_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A3 ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_a_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_a_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_a_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_a_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_a_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_a_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_a_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_a_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_a_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_a_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_a_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_a_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==2 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(us_a_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(us_a_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(us_a_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(us_a_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A4 ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_l_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A5 ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==200 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(uk_a_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A6 ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_l_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A7 ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==220 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(fr_a_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A8 ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_l_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A9 ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if coldwar==0 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if pcw==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp if p911==1 & expcode==255 | expcode==260 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(ge_a_p911_4 , replace) ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Figure A2 graph combine us_l_cw_1 us_l_cw_2 us_l_cw_3 us_l_cw_4 us_l_92_1 us_l_92_2 us_l_92_3 us_l_92_4 /// us_l_pcw_1 us_l_pcw_2 us_l_pcw_3 us_l_pcw_4 us_l_p911_1 us_l_p911_2 us_l_p911_3 us_l_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A23 graph combine us_a_cw_1 us_a_cw_2 us_a_cw_3 us_a_cw_4 us_a_92_1 us_a_92_2 us_a_92_3 us_a_92_4 /// us_a_pcw_1 us_a_pcw_2 us_a_pcw_3 us_a_pcw_4 us_a_p911_1 us_a_p911_2 us_a_p911_3 us_a_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A4 graph combine uk_l_cw_1 uk_l_cw_3 uk_l_cw_4 uk_l_92_1 uk_l_92_3 uk_l_92_4 /// uk_l_pcw_1 uk_l_pcw_3 uk_l_pcw_4 uk_l_p911_1 uk_l_p911_3 uk_l_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A5 graph combine uk_a_cw_1 uk_a_cw_2 uk_a_cw_3 uk_a_cw_4 uk_a_92_1 uk_a_92_2 uk_a_92_3 uk_a_92_4 /// uk_a_pcw_1 uk_a_pcw_2 uk_a_pcw_3 uk_a_pcw_4 uk_a_p911_2 uk_a_p911_3 uk_a_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A6 graph combine fr_l_cw_1 fr_l_cw_2 fr_l_cw_3 fr_l_cw_4 fr_l_92_1 fr_l_92_2 fr_l_92_3 fr_l_92_4 /// fr_l_pcw_1 fr_l_pcw_2 fr_l_pcw_3 fr_l_pcw_4 fr_l_p911_1 fr_l_p911_2 fr_l_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A7 graph combine fr_a_cw_1 fr_a_cw_2 fr_a_cw_3 fr_a_cw_4 fr_a_92_1 fr_a_92_2 fr_a_92_3 fr_a_92_4 /// fr_a_pcw_2 fr_a_pcw_3 fr_a_pcw_4 fr_a_p911_1 fr_a_p911_2 fr_a_p911_3 fr_a_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A8 graph combine ge_l_cw_1 ge_l_cw_2 ge_l_cw_3 ge_l_cw_4 ge_l_92_1 ge_l_92_2 ge_l_92_3 ge_l_92_4 /// ge_l_pcw_1 ge_l_pcw_2 ge_l_pcw_3 ge_l_pcw_4 ge_l_p911_1 ge_l_p911_2 ge_l_p911_3 ge_l_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon *Figure A9 graph combine ge_a_cw_1 ge_a_cw_2 ge_a_cw_3 ge_a_cw_4 ge_a_92_1 ge_a_92_2 ge_a_92_3 ge_a_92_4 /// ge_a_pcw_1 ge_a_pcw_2 ge_a_pcw_3 ge_a_pcw_4 ge_a_p911_1 ge_a_p911_2 ge_a_p911_3 ge_a_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *Split Time Not Country *Table A13 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==1 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==0 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if pcw==1 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if p911==1 *Table A14 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==1 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==0 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if pcw==1 ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if p911==1 *Figure A10 A11, combination below ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(land_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(land_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(land_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(land_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(air_cw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(air_cw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(air_cw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(air_cw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==0 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(land_p92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(land_p92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(land_p92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(land_p92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if coldwar==0 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(air_p92_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(air_p92_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(air_p92_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(air_p92_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if pcw==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(land_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(land_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(land_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(land_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if pcw==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(air_pcw_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(air_pcw_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(air_pcw_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(air_pcw_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if p911==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(land_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(land_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(land_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(land_p911_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp uk fr ge if p911==1 margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(air_p911_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(air_p911_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(air_p911_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(air_p911_4 , replace) graph combine land_cw_1 land_cw_2 land_cw_3 land_cw_4 land_p92_1 land_p92_2 land_p92_3 land_p92_4 /// land_pcw_1 land_pcw_2 land_pcw_3 land_pcw_4 land_p911_1 land_p911_2 land_p911_3 land_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon graph combine air_cw_1 air_cw_2 air_cw_3 air_cw_4 air_p92_1 air_p92_2 air_p92_3 air_p92_4 /// air_pcw_1 air_pcw_2 air_pcw_3 air_pcw_4 air_p911_1 air_p911_2 air_p911_3 air_p911_4 , col(4) ycommon ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************************************************************************************** *All Dummies *Table A15 ologit cat_dv_land int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp coldwar p911 uk fr ge ologit cat_dv_air int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp coldwar p911 uk fr ge *Figure A12 ologit cat_dv_land i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp coldwar p911 uk fr ge margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(land_alldummy_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(land_alldummy_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(land_alldummy_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(land_alldummy_4 , replace) ologit cat_dv_air i.int_hr imp_dep_ma polity2_imp ln_gdp defense hostlev_imp cw_intensity_imp coldwar p911 uk fr ge margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(1)) marginsplot , name(air_alldummy_1 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(2)) marginsplot , name(air_alldummy_2 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(3)) marginsplot , name(air_alldummy_3 , replace) margins int_hr, atmeans predict(outcome(4)) marginsplot , name(air_alldummy_4 , replace) graph combine land_alldummy_1 land_alldummy_2 land_alldummy_3 land_alldummy_4 /// air_alldummy_1 air_alldummy_2 air_alldummy_3 air_alldummy_4 , col(4) ycommon